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President Biden COVID Plan
Since taking office, the Biden administration had avoided imposing nationwide vaccine mandates, focusing instead on incentives for businesses and individuals. But with the arrival of the delta variant, a surge in pediatric cases and pockets of the country remaining hesitant to get a shot, Biden’s COVID strategy shifted in recent weeks.
"We’ve been patient, but our patience is wearing thin. And your refusal has cost all of us," Biden said of unvaccinated Americans on Sept. 9 when announcing his plan to draft the rule.
Federal contractors now have until Nov. 22 to become fully vaccinated, while contractors that work with the government have until Dec. 8.
Testing for these workers is not an option.
Biden also has required that health facilities like hospitals and nursing homes that accept federal dollars mandate vaccines for their workers, a total estimated at 17 million workers.
The latest OSHA rule would significantly expand that pool of Americans, putting two-thirds of the nation’s workforce under a kind of mandate.
Once divided on how to address the pandemic, Republican governors have united against the plan, insisting it represents dangerous federal overreach and would cripple business owners already dealing with worker shortages.
"Rest assured, we will fight them to the gates of hell to protect the liberty and livelihood of every South Carolinian," tweeted the South Carolina GOP Gov. Henry McMaster last September following Biden's announcement.
Supporters counter that many large businesses have already embraced vaccine mandates to both entice employees who want a safe workplace and end a pandemic that has hobbled the economy. They argue too that whenever employees have enacted mandates, the vast majority of workers comply.
"This is not a vaccine mandate. It’s a safe workplace mandate -- getting vaccinated or tested," said Barab, the former deputy assistant secretary of labor for OSHA.
"You want to do it as soon as you can to protect as many people as you can," he added.
A Labor Department spokesperson and the White House declined to discuss the specifics of the rule ahead of its release, other than to confirm that the White House’s Office of Management and Budget completed its regulatory review on Monday.
"The Federal Register will publish the emergency temporary standard in the coming days," a Labor Department spokesperson said.
As an emergency standard, the rule would take effect immediately. But the administration was widely expected to give businesses at least some time to comply, although it’s not clear how long. Several industry groups were
Covid-19 vaccine has become a second pandemic
(CNN)Covid-19 vaccines are fast approaching, but a second pandemic might impede efforts to recover from the first, according to the president of a global humanitarian aid group.
That second pandemic: "fake news" about those very vaccines.
Francesco Rocca, president of the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies, said in a virtual briefing to the UN Correspondents Association on Monday that governments and institutions needed to implement measures to combat growing mistrust and misinformation.
"To beat Covid-19, we also need to defeat the parallel pandemic of mistrust that has consistently hindered our collective response to this disease, and that could undermine our shared ability to vaccinate against it," he said
The leader of the world's largest humanitarian aid network said his organization shares "the sense of relief and optimism" that developments in Covid-19 vaccines bring. But governments and institutions "have to build trust in the communities" where misinformation has taken root, he added.
There is growing hesitancy about vaccines around the world, particularly the Covid-19 vaccine, said Rocca. He cited a study by Johns Hopkins University in 67 countries, which found that vaccine acceptance had declined significantly between July and October of this year.
American dream'
Winsome Sears declared victory and called it a 'God thing
"In case you haven't noticed, I am Black. And I have been Black all my life, but that's not what this is about," she continued.
"What we are going to do now is be about the business of the Commonwealth," she said. "We have things to tend to. We are going to fully fund our historically Black colleges and universities. We’re going to have safer neighborhoods, safer communities, and our children are going to get a good education."
Sears' Democratic opponent, State Del. Hala Ayala, has not conceded.
Sears immigrated to the United States from Jamaica as a child, and was the director of a Salvation Army homeless shelter prior to entering politics. She also owns an appliance and plumbing repair store in Virginia, and previously served as vice president of the Virginia Board of Education.
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Facebook changes company name to Meta
WASHINGTON -Zuckerberg is the world's fifth-richest individual and the most public face of Big Tech swagger. Facebook did not have immediate comment.
James alleged Facebook had a practice of opening its site to third-party app developers, then abruptly cutting off developers that it saw as a threat.
POINTS
Facebook on Thursday announced that it has changed its company name to Meta.
The name change, which was announced at the Facebook Connect augmented and virtual reality conference, reflects the company’s growing ambitions
Facebook on Thursday announced that it has changed its company name to Meta.
The name change was announced at the Facebook Connect augmented and virtual reality conference. The new name reflects the company’s growing ambitions beyond social media. Facebook, now known as Meta, has adopted the new moniker, based on the sci-fi term metaverse, to describe its vision for working and playing in a virtual world.
“Today we are seen as a social media company, but in our DNA we are a company that builds technology to connect people, and the metaverse is the next frontier just like social networking was when we got started,” Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg said.
The company also said in announcing the new name that it will change its stock ticker from FB to MVRS, effective Dec. 1.
Meta’s stock price closed up on Thursday.
Facebook on Thursday announced that it has changed its company name to Meta.
The name change was announced at the Facebook Connect augmented and virtual reality conference. The new name reflects the company’s growing ambitions beyond social media. Facebook, now known as Meta, has adopted the new moniker, based on the sci-fi term metaverse, to describe its vision for working and playing in a virtual world.
“Today we are seen as a social media company, but in our DNA we are a company that builds technology to connect people, and the metaverse is the next frontier just like social networking was when we got started,” Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg said.
The company also said in announcing the new name that it will change its stock ticker from FB to MVRS, effective Dec. 1.
Meta’s stock price closed up on Thursday.
beyond social media.
The re-branding also comes after the company has dealt with a barrage of news reports over the past month stemming from whistleblower Frances Haugen’s trove of internal documents.
World Economy Collapses
The economy in the third quarter grew at just 2%, the slowest pace since the 31.2% plunge in the second quarter of 2020, when the economy was shutdown by the pandemic.
The unique nature of the pandemic shutdown has resulted in a longer and now shallower than expected rebound, as the economy struggles to overcome supply chain disruptions, labor shortages and inflation
As the pandemic recedes, it has created lingering ill effects like worker shortages, inflation and supply constraints that have delayed, but could also ultimately extend the economy’s recovery.
Governments around the world
The tightness in goods and labor is showing up across the economy, and consumers are paying more for everything from meat to clothing. For example, the national average price for a gallon of unleaded gasoline is $1.25 higher than a year ago, according to AAA.
Reinhart said consumers are reacting to higher prices. In the third-quarter GDP report, consumer spending — which is about two-thirds of the U.S. economy — rose at a 1.6% pace, after jumping 12% in the second quarter.
“I think a striking aspect of the earnings reports we’ve gotten thus far for the quarter is executives pushing back the date of when they see supplies coming back to normal and I think we should listen to those individual responses,” he said.
Reinhart said the economy has fallen about a year behind the rebound many initially expected. He added that by the second half of next year, many supply problems should be resolved and hiring should be easier. By then, he expects companies will be showing fewer impacts from supply chain disruptions or will have found solutions for the issues that remain
Grant Thornton chief economist Diane Swonk said the supply issues that are impacting corporate America are especially hard on smaller businesses.
“What really worries me is the large retail and tech behemoths are going to be gaining more market share over the small and mid-sized firms,” she said. Swonk said one positive from the pandemic was the surge in entrepreneurship as people started up new businesses.
“They face margin pressures where the larger firms have the technology to get through it,” she said.
Wild cards
There are lingering wild cards that make the outlook uncertain, including the course of the pandemic itself. Reinhart said political uncertainty is one of the bigger risks.
It’s not clear how much spending will be approved by Congress or what it will be aimed at. President Joe Biden presented Thursday a $1.7 trillion plan focusing on social spending and climate.
“This idea of federal stimulus abating is happening already,” Swonk said. “That’s going to be important as we go into 2022 because no matter what package is passed and agreed, it’s all less than was was passed so the private sector has to pick up the baton from the public sector.”
Government spending edged slightly higher in the third quarter after sliding in the second quarter. The sharp decline in federal spending was offset by a rebound in state and local spending as schools reopened.
Swonk said federal spending is set to fall again in the fourth quarter, but she expects fourth-quarter growth to be stronger.
“It will be a strong fourth quarter. I’m looking at about 5% growth,” she said. Swonk also said Halloween spending appears to be higher this year, and the quarter also includes spending for the Christmas holiday season. “The question is what do we buy, what’s not available and how much do we pay.”
Consumer confidence is improving, and credit card spending has picked up, she noted. Bank of America reported that its total card spending was up 19% over a two-year period for the week ending Oct. 16.
One impact of the slower than anticipated economic rebound this year may be that the activity that would have come in a burst rolls into future quarters instead.
“The silver lining of a less boomy growth profile is that it could prove conducive to a more sustainable recovery,” JPMorgan economists wrote. “The stunning bounce back from last year’s pandemic collapse revealed the limits to ramping up supply in response to surging demand—as manifested in manufacturing bottlenecks and multi-decade highs in core goods inflation.”
Inflation
Reinhart expects the economy to grow by about 3.5% in the fourth quarter. He also sees the economy expanding at a rate of 2% to 2.5% by the second half of 2022. Swonk expects the growth rate to remain higher in 2022, with growth of 3.3% in fourth quarter over fourth quarter.
Economists also expect inflation to remain above the Fed’s 2% target.
“Core inflation could still continue to be higher. ... Some of the backlogs at the ports, the problems in hiring truckers. That eases over time,” Reinhart said. “Dealing with extra demand given supply, that’s what keeps inflation higher.”
Higher inflation could mean the Federal Reserve would act sooner than anticipated to end its zero rate policy. Traders are already pricing in as many as three hikes next year, and the concern is if the Fed begins to raise interest rates it could slow the economy.
“Inflation matters when it distorts behavior, and it looks like it’s going to continue to distort behavior in 2022,” Swonk said.
Swonk expects core personal consumption expenditure inflation — an indicator watched closely by the Fed — to be 4.2% at the end of 2021 on a year-over-year basis and 3.1% at the end of next year. The consumer price index has been running above 5%, and core CPI was 4% in September.
Wage inflation is expected to continue as employers attempt to lure workers or just retain them.
Labor woes
Swonk said hiring should improve now that students have returned to school, and parents could be freed to return to work. “The problem is we’re still in the pandemic,” she said. “The good news is we have more vaccinations and more immunity.”
But she said recent data from Indeed Hiring Lab show that the number of job openings could reach a record 11 million, or more by the end of October. “Even as we bring workers back, demand is outpacing supply,” she said.
Nonfarm employment has risen by 17.4 million since the trough in April, 2020, but it is still down by 5 million from its pre-pandemic level in February, 2020.
Economists say many people retired and fewer immigrants coming into the U.S. are two factors behind the labor shortage.
“Many people thought when we turned the lights back on in May 2020 and June 2020, that was it and we didn’t get there then. Employment lags,” she said. “The longer these distortions related to the pandemic and the pandemic continues to persist, the more workers are permanently displaced.”
spent trillions of dollars to smooth the impact of the abrupt curtailment of activity in the second quarter of 2020, but no one knew how the world would get back to business.
At first, the U.S. economy rebounded sharply. But a year later, third-quarter gross domestic product grew at just 2% — way below initial estimates — because of the uneven activity and extreme mismatches of supply and demand.
“What we’re seeing is an economy with millions of individual decisions having to cope with these large changes,” Mellon chief economist Vincent Reinhart said. “It’s a modern economy that has gotten more and more complicated. ... It’s a very complicated machine to restart.”
Stores are grappling with shortages of goods as ports are clogged, and shipping has become an expensive challenge. Companies large and small are facing worker shortages that have resulted in delayed or canceled orders. This has driven prices higher for the goods that are available, and with surging commodities prices, inflation is hotter and more persistent than many expected.